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Description
Will Tesla launch a robotaxi service in California by June 30, 2026? A Yes requires public deployment of a self-driving taxi service in California by 11:59 PM ET on that date, accessible to the general public (not limited to employees or test groups). No covers all other outcomes. Resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting confirming public access and operation without a human driver.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.