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Description
Trump approval rating on July 17, 2026 will be measured by Silver Bulletin’s poll aggregator. The market resolves based on the approval rating shown on the green trend line for July 17, 2026, with finalization once the next data point is published. If Silver Bulletin’s data becomes unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used as a fallback source; ratings are reported to one decimal place and that precision governs resolution.
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6
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.