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Description
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff is a May 26, 2026 election that will be resolved by the total canvassed votes reported for the runoff. Outcomes map to discrete turnout brackets: <0.6M, 0.6–0.9M, 0.9–1.2M, 1.2–1.5M, 1.5–1.8M, 1.8–2.1M, 2.1–2.4M, 2.4–2.7M, or 2.7M+. If a reported value lies exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If results aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. Settlement uses official statewide results from the Texas Secretary of State or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Rules
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.