Description
TX-38 Republican Primary Winner: the March 3, 2026 Republican nomination contest will determine who advances to the U.S. House race for Texas’s 38th district. The winner is settled by the candidate who secures the Republican nomination, with a fallback to “Other” if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on a consensus of official Republican sources, including the Republican National Committee. Replacements before Election Day do not alter the market’s outcome.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Ayers | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jon Bonck | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shelly deZevallos | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Craig Goralski | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barrett McNabb | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carmen Montiel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Pratt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Larry Rubin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jennifer Sundt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jeff Yuna | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.