Carmen Montiel to win the TX-38 Republican primary for the U.S. House seat in 2026. Settlement follows the first official Republican nomination announcement; nominee replacements do not affect the result. If no nominee by Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Ayers | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jon Bonck | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shelly deZevallos | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Craig Goralski | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barrett McNabb | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carmen Montiel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Pratt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Larry Rubin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jennifer Sundt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jeff Yuna | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.