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Description
U.S. Congress member resignations or removals tied to Epstein-file releases by April 30, 2026 are assessed. A qualifying departure must occur on or before 11:59 PM ET that is caused by information in newly released Epstein-related files, as confirmed by official statements or a credible reporting consensus. Pretimed announcements count if made before April 30, 2026.
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.