Description
Will Smith / Punch to be mentioned during the Oscars broadcast on ABC on March 15, 2026. Settlement occurs if the phrase is mentioned in the show or qualifying clips.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Mar 3, 2026, 23:32
Resolve date
Mar 16, 2026, 07:30
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chalamet 5+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epstein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| President | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ellison | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ukraine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Netflix | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kylie | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Leo | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Palestine | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Will Smith / Punch | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shame | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sex | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alien | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peace | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Zionist / Zionism | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| White House | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Middle East | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Greenland | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ice Out / Fuck Ice | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Polymarket | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dream Big | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mom | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Charlie Kirk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballet | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Opera | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.