Description
Kevin Warsh’s FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference are scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The Yes market resolves if Warsh says any of the listed terms during the intro or Q&A, including any word form, plural, or compound usage, or if a clip from past interviews is aired; otherwise the market resolves to No. Resolution relies on video and transcripts from the press conference.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 40+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 50+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 60+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Job 15+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome / Powell | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rate / Cut | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Money | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good Afternoon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Depression / Recession | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chair | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FED | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Artificial Intelligence / AI | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balance Sheet | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dual Mandate | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Goods Inflation | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stock | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| I Don't Know | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Downside | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trend | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stable / Stability | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Job Market | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Maximum Employment | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| All-Time High / All-Time Low | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Groupthink / Group Think | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Asymmetric | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Open-Minded | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pandemic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Predecessor | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Independence | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.