Description
I Don’t Know: Any phrasing of I Don’t Know; resolution via transcripts.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 8, 2026, 19:03
Resolve date
Jun 17, 2026, 22:29
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 40+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 50+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 60+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Job 15+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome / Powell | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rate / Cut | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Money | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good Afternoon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Depression / Recession | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chair | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FED | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Artificial Intelligence / AI | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balance Sheet | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dual Mandate | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Goods Inflation | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stock | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| I Don't Know | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Downside | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trend | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stable / Stability | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Job Market | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Maximum Employment | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| All-Time High / All-Time Low | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Groupthink / Group Think | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Asymmetric | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Open-Minded | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pandemic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Predecessor | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Independence | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.