Description
US median home value on September 30, 2026 will be reported by Parcl Labs as an index-based price per square foot, then converted to a dollar midpoint by multiplying by 2000 to yield the median value. If the published value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher bracket applies. Settlement uses official Parcl data with fallback to the most recently published figure if September 30 data is not released by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$419K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $419K - $426K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $426K - $433K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $433K - $440K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $440K - $447K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $447K - $454K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $454K+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)