Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Fed rate hike in 2026? is a binary market on whether the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is raised at any point during 2026, with the Fed’s December 8-9, 2026 meeting serving as the latest possible decision point. Settlement occurs if a rate increase is announced at any point from January 1, 2026 through the December 2026 decision; No resolves only after the December meeting announces a change or no change, per the Fed’s official release and credible reporting where needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.