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Description
Donald Trump will speak at a Beijing State Banquet on May 14, 2026, at 6:00 AM ET. The Yes outcome resolves if the specified term appears in any broadcasted remarks during the event, including clips from old interviews or prerecorded footage aired during the ceremony or Q&A. Any plural, possessive, or compound-form appearances count; non-listed forms do not. If the event is cancelled or not aired by 11:59 PM ET on May 14, 2026, the market resolves to Yes for the -No Qualifying Event- bracket and No for all other brackets. Resolution is determined from video of the live or broadcasted events.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silk Road | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ping-pong / Ping Pong | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heaven | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Forbidden City | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nixon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sovereign / Sovereignty | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farm / Farmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Friendship | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ancient | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| World War II | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Temple | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farm / Farmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gun | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Confucius / Confucian | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dynasty | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Biden | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.