Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Trump Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET will be the focal event. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump says the listed term during the scheduled Speech to the Nation; otherwise it resolves to No. If the event is canceled or not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the special outcome “-No Qualifying Event-” governs, with all other markets resolving to No. Resolution source is the video of the events.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
26
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
What will Trump say during the Freedom 250 Grand Prix Showcase?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?What will Trump say this week? (July 13 - July 19)How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?What will Trump say this week? (July 6 - July 12)Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (July 13 - July 19)What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31?Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran / Iranian 20+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nuclear 15+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Biden 5+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Venezuela | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Middle East | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Communist | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fake News | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Make America Great Again | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Annihilated / Annihilating | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| World Cup | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Israel / Israeli | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russia | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Six Seven | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iraq | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Maduro | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crooked | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fentanyl | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ukraine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Interfere / Interference | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fraud / Fraudulent | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf