Description
Happy Birthday America: Yes if Trump says the listed terms during the July 4, 2026 Tribute to America address; No if not.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
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Created
Jun 30, 2026, 20:40
Resolve date
Jul 5, 2026, 07:20
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand 10+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Beautiful 7+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Happy Birthday America | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mandate | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fake News | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epic Fury | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Restaurant | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mount Rushmore | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Space Force | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Booming | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Never Seen Before | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Golden Dome | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Six Seven | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hussein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| World War | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| New York | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stock Market | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin / Franklin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexander / Hamilton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Military | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bomb / Bomber | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wild West | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address at the "Tribute to America" Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the "Tribute to America" Independence Day address scheduled for July 4, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf