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Description
Donald Trump is slated to deliver a keynote at the Tribute to America Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C. on July 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This event will resolve Yes if Trump utters any of the listed terms during the July 4 address; otherwise, it resolves No. If the event is cancelled or not available by July 5, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the Yes-No framework resolves to No Qualifying Event with the remainder resolving to No. Resolution relies on audio or video of the appearance.
Event stats
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Markets
27
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand 10+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Beautiful 7+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Happy Birthday America | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mandate | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fake News | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epic Fury | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Restaurant | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mount Rushmore | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Space Force | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Booming | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Never Seen Before | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Golden Dome | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Six Seven | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hussein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| World War | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| New York | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stock Market | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin / Franklin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexander / Hamilton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Military | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bomb / Bomber | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wild West | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address at the "Tribute to America" Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the "Tribute to America" Independence Day address scheduled for July 4, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf