Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Donald Trump will publicly insult a named or clearly identifiable individual by July 31, 2026. Insults must be delivered in any written or spoken statement from Trump and target the person personally or professionally in a negative way, excluding mere policy disagreements. The market resolves to Yes if any qualifying insult occurs before the deadline; otherwise, No. Public statements include nicknames, demeaning language, or attacks that clearly demean the subject.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
27
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
What will Trump say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?Weed rescheduled by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Will Trump dance on...?Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Megyn Kelly | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candace Owens | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pope Leo XIV | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vladimir Putin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Biden | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barack Obama | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J.D. Vance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Melania Trump | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Xi Jinping | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Keir Starmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Viktor Orbán | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elon Musk | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome Powell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Maduro | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Zohran Mamdani | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jimmy Kimmel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Macron | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Freidrich Merz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Norah O'Donnell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kaitlan Collins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mohammed bin Salman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Warsh | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.