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Description
GPT-5.6 release timing is measured by the calendar date (ET) OpenAI publicly makes the model available to the general public. The market covers the successor family to GPT-5.5, including variants like GPT-5.7 or GPT-5.8, and counting task-specialized or cost-efficient iterations if they are publicly accessible. A truly public release requires official OpenAI confirmation on accessibility and is verified by credible reporting when needed.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prior to May 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 18–May 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 25–May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 1–June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8–June 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15–June 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22–June 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not released by June 28 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.