Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Jerome Powell's departure as Fed Chair is tracked by a dated window of potential vacating events. The market resolves to the first ET date range within which Powell ceases to hold the Chair position, as confirmed by official Fed statements or credible reporting consensus. Announcements of resignation or firing alone do not qualify unless accompanied by Powell vacating the chair; temporary successors do not count until a formal departure occurs.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
9
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?Fed decision in April?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15–22 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 23–29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 30–June 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 6–12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13–19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 20–26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 27–July 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| After July 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.