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Description
Trump tries to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? is a decision-market about whether Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces removal of Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Powell resigns or departs before a qualifying action, the market resolves to No. Only unequivocal actions by Trump count; informal statements do not. Resolution sources include official Trump statements or credible reporting consensus.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.