Description
Tarcisio de Freitas to advance to Brazil's presidential runoff on October 4, 2026, or win outright in the first round. Settlement follows credible reporting; if undecided, reference the official TSE results.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Sep 18, 2025, 17:54
Resolve date
Oct 4, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcisio de Frietas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jair Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Romeu Zema | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renan Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).