Price history
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Description
Candidates linked to the October 4, 2026 Brazilian general election compete for a first-round win or advancement to a runoff. The listed options advance to the runoff if they finish in the top two or win outright on October 4, 2026; if not, they fail to advance. Settlement relies on credible reporting and, if unclear, official results from Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
9
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats WonBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats HeldWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Next Prime Minister of VietnamBaden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd PlaceNext French Presidential Election
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcisio de Frietas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jair Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Romeu Zema | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renan Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).