Price history
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Description
Brazil’s October 4, 2026 presidential election first round features ten named candidates. The market resolves for the candidate in third place by vote share, using the official count and a deterministic tie-breaker by last name if needed; if the result isn’t definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, it settles to “Other.” Resolution rests on credible reporting and, if necessary, official results from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
Event stats
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32
Market highlights
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Related events
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceWhich candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats WonBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats HeldWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Next Prime Minister of VietnamBaden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd PlaceNext French Presidential Election
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcisio de Freitas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jair Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ratinho Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renan Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Romeu Zema | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Camilo Santana | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Geraldo Alckmin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aldo Rebelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Leite | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tereza Cristina | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Helder Barbalho | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).