Price history
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Description
Which company owns the model with the highest arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard as of December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET? The market resolves by the company occupying first place on the Leaderboard according to Rank order, Arena score, and then company name as final tiebreaker, with the official leaderboard source linked. If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, the market stays open until it returns and resolves by the next check; if permanently unavailable, it resolves via an alternate source.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
26
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.