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Description
Which countries will have a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 and when? Markets cover Uganda, South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, United States, Canada, Kenya, India, Republic of the Congo, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Somalia, and China. A country resolves Yes if a laboratory-confirmed Ebola case is reported in that territory at any time from market creation through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. Resolution sources are official health authorities or credible, consensus reporting if needed.
Event stats
24h volume
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Liquidity
Markets
13
Market highlights
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| South Sudan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rwanda | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Burundi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| United States | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Canada | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kenya | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| India | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Republic of the Congo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nigeria | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ethiopia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Somalia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.