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Description
How many earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher will occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? The total is counted across all events within the window and resolved by USGS’s Earthquake Hazards Program. If a significant quake appears in the window but is not yet listed on the resolution source, the market may stay open through July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the quake is reflected in the source; otherwise a credible alternate source may be used.
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7
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.