Description
Any U.S. House member to enter Iran by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) on the ground. Settlement occurs if credible reporting confirms a sworn, serving House member physically enters Iran’s land territory.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Mar 1, 2026, 20:10
Resolve date
Jul 1, 2026, 06:07
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any U.S. House member | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Any U.S. Senator | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jared Kushner | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| JD Vance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Donald Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.