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Description
Who will enter Iran by June 30? Avenues for resolution hinge on a listed individual physically entering Iran’s land territory between market creation and June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). A positive resolution requires a credible report consensus confirming the person’s on-the-ground entry; air or maritime transit alone does not count. If no listed person makes a ground entry by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
Top market
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24h loser
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Top market
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any U.S. House member | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Any U.S. Senator | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jared Kushner | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| JD Vance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Donald Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.