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Description
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by... markets track explicit public declarations by President Trump, the US government, or military that the February 28, 2026 operations have concluded by the listed date. Yes resolves only when an official statement or post confirms an end of hostilities; No otherwise. The primary resolution source is official government statements, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.