Description
Dan Scavino to leave the Trump Administration before December 31, 2026. Departure announcement resolves Yes immediately; otherwise No.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Dec 16, 2025, 15:24
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Karoline Leavitt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Bessent | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lee Zeldin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Howard Lutnick | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Bongino | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kash Patel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Miller | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susie Wiles | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Scavino | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Sacks | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russell Vought | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Homan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Ratcliffe | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kristi Noem | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Markwayne Mullin | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.