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Description
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? is a set of yes/no markets on whether listed individuals will depart the Trump Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A resignation or removal announced at any time before the end date settles this market to Yes immediately, even if the change takes effect later. The resolution source is official Trump administration announcements, with credible reporting as a fallback. Markets span cabinet-level officials, White House staff, ambassadors, and senior appointees publicly announced by government channels.
Event stats
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Markets
21
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Karoline Leavitt | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Bessent | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lee Zeldin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Howard Lutnick | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Bongino | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kash Patel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Miller | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susie Wiles | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Scavino | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Sacks | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russell Vought | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Homan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Ratcliffe | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kristi Noem | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Markwayne Mullin | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.