Description
Who will place first in the California 11th congressional district primary for Nancy Pelosi’s seat is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the June 2, 2026 primary, across all parties. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of official sources, including the California Secretary of State; replacements before election day do not affect the outcome.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bettles | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Saikat Chakrabarti | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Darren Helton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Wiener | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jingchao Xiong | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Ganezer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Connie Chan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.