Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Donald Trump could publicly insult a named or clearly identified figure by April 30, 2026. Insults must be delivered in a public statement that disparages the subject personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner, with a consensus of credible reporting confirming the insult. If no qualifying statement occurs by the deadline, the Yes market resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
25
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?SBF released from custody in 2026?Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Will Trump dance during UFC 327?Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Weed rescheduled by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Carlson | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Megyn Kelly | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candace Owens | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Jones | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pope Leo XIV | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vladimir Putin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Biden | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barack Obama | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J.D. Vance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Melania Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Xi Jinping | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Keir Starmer | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Viktor Orbán | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elon Musk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome Powell | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Maduro | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Zohran Mamdani | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tucker Carlson | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Megyn Kelly | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candace Owens | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Jones | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Biden | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.