Description
Mitch McConnell to vote Yes on the first final Senate confirmation vote on Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence. Settlement uses official voting records; unanimous approval or unrecorded votes resolve to Yes.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jun 12, 2026, 15:05
Resolve date
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Event
Volume
Markets
10
Top market
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Murkowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mitch McConnell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bill Cassidy | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susan Collins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Thom Tillis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Fetterman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Cornyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Curtis | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.