Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence? This market tracks whether each listed Senator votes Yes on the first final Senate confirmation vote for the nomination. If the vote passes unanimously, or if voting is not conducted in a way that records individual votes, it resolves to Yes; if it fails or is withdrawn, it resolves to No. The resolution relies on official Senate voting records and credible reporting, with a December 31, 2026 deadline to resolve any No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
10
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryNext Senate Majority Leader?How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Which bills will become law in 2026?How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Murkowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mitch McConnell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bill Cassidy | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susan Collins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Thom Tillis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Fetterman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Cornyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Curtis | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.