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Description
Will Republicans lose a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterm elections? The market resolves to Yes if the party ceases to hold more than half of seated voting House members at any point before polls open on November 3, 2026; ties do not count. Resolution sources include official House Press Gallery data, or a credible reporting consensus if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.