Jack Thorne to be among the 2026 Fields Medal recipients (under 40 at the time of ICM 2026). Settlement relies on the IMU announcement; credible reporting allowed if needed. If no announcement by Aug 15, 2026, the event resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Wang | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacob Tsimerman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Pardon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Julian Sahasrabudhe | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yu Deng | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jack Thorne | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sam Raskin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Will Sawin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aleksandr Logunov | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexander Efimov | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vesselin Dimitrov | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.