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Description
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? Winners will be the two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 announced at the International Congress of Mathematicians in 2026, with the ICM held July 23–30, 2026. If winners are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution relies primarily on official IMU announcements, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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11
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Wang | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacob Tsimerman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Pardon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Julian Sahasrabudhe | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yu Deng | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jack Thorne | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sam Raskin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Will Sawin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aleksandr Logunov | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexander Efimov | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vesselin Dimitrov | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.