Description
Cai Qi to be purged in 2026: a purge-described exit from a top post or CCP expulsion must surface in credible reporting by 12/31/2026 (11:59 PM ET).
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jan 29, 2026, 20:41
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Yi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cai Qi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Li Qiang | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wang Huning | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Zhao Leji | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ding Xuexiang | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Li Xi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Zhang Shengmin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dong Jun | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.