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Description
Anthropic and OpenAI IPO timing markets focus on which company completes an IPO first. If Anthropic goes public before OpenAI by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, settlement is Anthropic; if OpenAI IPO precedes Anthropic within that window, settlement is OpenAI. If neither, both on the same date, or neither can complete an IPO by the deadline, the market settles 50-50. Resolution relies on official announcements plus credible reporting consensus.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.