Description
Clarence Thomas retirement timing: a Yes occurs if he publicly announces retirement by the stated deadline (11:59 PM ET on the specified date). Any official announcement from Thomas or his representatives counts, whether retirement is immediate, at term end, or future. If no such retirement announcement is made by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.