Description
February 28: Yes if Reza Pahlavi physically enters Iran before 11:59 PM ET on February 28, 2026; otherwise No. Visit defined as entry into Iran’s terrestrial territory, with credible reporting as the resolution source.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jan 19, 2026, 20:35
Resolve date
Mar 1, 2026, 07:16
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.