Description
Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by a specified date window is in question. If he visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Yes resolves; otherwise No. A visit requires physical entry into Iran’s terrestrial territory; airspace or sea proximity alone does not count. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.