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Description
Russia invades another country in 2026 is a yes/no market. A Yes resolves if Russia commences a military offensive to establish control over any portion of a UN member state's territory other than Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market uses a consensus of credible reporting as the resolution source, and counts land already controlled by a UN member state as that sovereign's territory at market creation.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.