Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Satoshi Nakamoto’s wallets on Arkham’s Intel Explorer must show an Outflow or Swaps transaction between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to settle Yes. If no such transaction appears, the market resolves to No. Arkham’s Intel Explorer is the stated resolution source, with a fallback to credible sources if Arkham becomes unavailable.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?Bitcoin above ___ on March 11?Bitcoin price on March 11?What price will Bitcoin hit on March 10?What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3PM ETWhat price will Bitcoin hit March 9-15?Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBitcoin above ___ on March 12?Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4PM ET
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.