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Description
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? Smith College faces a federal civil rights investigation over policies for transgender students. By December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Yes if the college changes its policy to exclude admission of or unenroll transgender women born male, at the Northampton campus. If not, or if no qualifying policy change occurs, the market resolves to No. Official announcements within the window count toward Yes; exclusions that apply to satellites or remote campuses still count as Yes when the Northampton campus is affected.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Smith College is an all-women's college in Massachusetts that is currently undergoing a federal civil rights investigation for its policies relating to transgender women. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Smith College changes its policies to exclude the future admission of or to unenroll current students who were born male and identify as transgender women from its Northampton campus by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The existence of or potential for individualized waivers from a general policy shall not be sufficient to prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the policy goes into effect. An announcement that prohibits transgender women from enrolling at its campus in Northampton, Massachusetts will count, even if it includes provisions allowing transgender women to enroll at satellite locations or remotely. The resolution source will be official statements from Smith College or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.