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Description
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? This market resolves to Yes if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A service that is accessible to the general public without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle qualifies; employee-only or limited-test-group access does not. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.