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Description
The 30-year mortgage rate in the United States, as reported by Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, is the focal point for a set of rate-threshold markets for 2026. Each market asks whether, in any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the published 30-year fixed rate is equal to or above the specified percentage. Resolution comes from Freddie Mac’s PMMS data; if the final week data is not published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, the market resolves based on the available data. All published weekly rates are final and revisions are not considered.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.