Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes: a statement from the President, a Cabinet member, a Joint Chiefs of Staff member, or a U.S. federal agency confirming extraterrestrial life or tech by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.