Description
June 30, 2027 cutoff: No confirmation required by this date unless a qualifying government statement occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Apr 20, 2026, 16:14
Resolve date
Jul 1, 2026, 06:04
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.