Description
Yes: a U.S. military offensive to establish control over any portion of Venezuela commences between September 6, 2025, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by credible sources and settled by consensus reporting.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Dec 17, 2025, 20:22
Resolve date
Feb 1, 2026, 07:41
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.